Betting against the public also known as fading the public is a betting strategy that you can use to build your bankroll. The NFL public betting system is based on the fact that the majority of the public with pace bets without making an informed decision. This affects their winning percentages and chances of winning which rarely happens.
How Fading the Public Works
When you choose the fading the public strategy, you are choosing to bet against the public opinion. Usually, the public would bet for a favoured team, home team or the home field advantage. Sportsbooks will offer spreads that will attract bets. When bets are made, they will adjust their lines to attract bets to the opposite side of where the public is wagering. This will be an indication of who the public is betting on and the right time to catch a line for fading the public. However, this is not a foolproof strategy, and it does not guarantee a win.
NFL Public Betting Trends
In sports betting, there are two different kinds of bettors. There are the casual bettors who are inexperienced and are also known as the “squares”, and then there are the experienced bettors also known as the “sharps”. The sharps are known to have a proven record of winning.
There is a rule that says the more bettors take part the more the public will fall in the square category. When you want to make better bets it better to use past season data to help you find NFL public betting trends. The more experienced bettors, the sharps, love placing their bets on the underdog while the square will bet on the most popular teams of the season.
Choose the Moneyline Instead of the Point Spread
When the public decides to bet heavily on a favourite is it usually the best time to bet against the public. When you do, choose the moneyline because this will help you maximise your value. However, it may not pay off all the time but it a good strategy that can turn into profit.
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Who is the Public betting on NFL – Do your Research
It may sound like a good idea to bet against the public, but it is always best to do your research first before committing to a bet. It is also good to go over the past seasons’ data to see the NFL public betting trends. Also, note that the sportsbooks will not move lines because of the volume of public betting. Each NFL season may not be same, and things may change according to how the teams are playing in the season. So, this is why it is important to do thorough research to make an informed decision.
Find the Best Sports Betting Sites with Good NFL Odds.
While NFL betting against the public may be a good strategy, knowing how to and when to use it is the best option. When you have read about the public betting trends for NFL, NFL public betting percentages, and NFL public betting trends, you can choose any one of the listed sports betting sites to see where they are moving their lines and place accordingly.